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BIAIS SURESTIMATION PROBABILITE PRECIPITATIONS [1 record]

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Record 1 2022-09-15

English

Subject field(s)
  • Meteorological Forecasting, Data Measurement and Analysis
CONT

There is a systematic bias in the reporting of POP [probability of precipitation] by television stations. Research shows: weather presenters intentionally report higher probabilities for rain than they believe. ... The idea is that the general public will blame them if it rains when the prediction was for no rain (people often equate very low POP with no rain), whereas if the prediction is wrong the other way around - high POP but no rain - then people are relieved and do not blame the forecasters. This bias is well enough established to have its own name: the "wet bias."

French

Domaine(s)
  • Prévisions météorologiques et mesure et analyse des données

Spanish

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