TERMIUM Plus^®

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... Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada uses the Food and Agriculture Regional Model(FARM) to forecast changes in prices and output of the Canadian agriculture and food sectors.  2, record 1, English, - Food%20and%20Agriculture%20Regional%20Model

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Agriculture et Agroalimentaire Canada utilise le modèle régional pour le secteur agroalimentaire (FARM) pour prévoir l'évolution des prix et des résultats en [ce qui concerne les secteur agricole et agroalimentaire canadiens].  2, record 1, French, - mod%C3%A8le%20r%C3%A9gional%20pour%20le%20secteur%20agroalimentaire

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In late 1997, Environment Canada's Prairie and Northern Region decided to re-organize its weather service program along a "centre of expertise" model. All aviation forecast services were consolidated in Edmonton, along with forecasting responsibility for the Canadian Arctic. The Prairie Aviation and Arctic Weather Centre(PAAWC) produces aviation forecasts for the three prairie provinces, the Northwest Territories, and Nunavut(just over 50% of Canada by area), and it looks after 1/3 of the aerodrome forecasts(TAFs).  3, record 2, English, - Prairie%20Aviation%20and%20Arctic%20Weather%20Centre

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A model composed of adjoint equations that maps a sensitivity gradient vector... from a forecast time... to an earlier time... which can be the initial time of a forecast trajectory.  2, record 3, English, - adjoint%20model

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The adjoint model, which is used in four-dimensional variational assimilation of meteorological data, can also help to investigate the sensitivity of forecast error to initial conditions in a diagnostic manner.  3, record 3, English, - adjoint%20model

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Le modèle adjoint, qui est utilisé pour mettre en œuvre l'assimilation variationnelle quadridimensionnelle de données météorologiques, peut également servir à évaluer la sensibilité de l'erreur de prévision aux conditions initiales.  2, record 3, French, - mod%C3%A8le%20adjoint

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The extreme forecast index(EFI,...), developed at ECMWF [European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts], is an example of an index that was designed to identify situations where the medium-range ensemble prediction system(EPS) forecasts are detecting extreme situations. Detection of extremes can be accomplished by comparing model forecasts to the underlying model climatology.  2, record 4, English, - extreme%20forecast%20index

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L'EFI est un paramètre de prévision utilisé pour évaluer l'anormalité d'une situation météorologique prévue en se basant sur la différence entre la distribution du système de prévision d'ensemble et la climatologie du modèle du CEPMMT [Centre européen pour les prévisions météorologiques à moyen terme].  2, record 4, French, - indice%20de%20pr%C3%A9vision%20d%27%C3%A9v%C3%A8nements%20extr%C3%AAmes

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Ensemble products... use various statistical and graphical methods to combine multiple forecast runs, each based on slightly different initial conditions or using slightly different model configurations and/or parameterizations. By doing so, we can determine the level of uncertainty, the most likely forecast outcomes, and the probability of those outcomes.  2, record 5, English, - forecast%20run

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A set of different weather forecasts for the same forecast time, but generated from different models or from one model using different starting conditions.  4, record 6, English, - ensemble%20weather%20forecast

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[The] ensemble forecasts, which emphasize the features that the models agree on and deemphasize the ones they disagree on, typically represent the actual weather better than any one model in particular.  4, record 6, English, - ensemble%20weather%20forecast

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Les prévisions d'ensemble sont conçues pour capturer la probabilité des évènements météorologiques et la zone d'incertitude inhérente à chaque situation prévue, de façon à ce que le prévisionniste sache quelle information passer au public.  3, record 6, French, - pr%C3%A9vision%20m%C3%A9t%C3%A9orologique%20d%27ensemble

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Ensemble Prediction Systems(EPS) are numerical weather prediction(NWP) systems that allow us to estimate the uncertainty in a weather forecast as well as the most likely outcome. Instead of running the NWP model once(a deterministic forecast), the model is run many times from very slightly different initial conditions.  7, record 7, English, - ensemble%20weather%20forecast%20system

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Les systèmes de prévision d'ensemble sont des systèmes de prévision numérique du temps qui nous permettent d'évaluer l'incertitude des prévisions météorologiques ainsi que leurs incidences les plus probables. Au lieu de faire tourner le modèle de prévision numérique une seule fois (prévision déterministe), on le fait tourner plusieurs fois avec des conditions initiales très légèrement différentes.  3, record 7, French, - syst%C3%A8me%20de%20pr%C3%A9vision%20m%C3%A9t%C3%A9orologique%20d%27ensemble

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... the computed average of percentage errors by which forecasts of a model differ from actual values of the quantity being forecast.  2, record 8, English, - mean%20percent%20error

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A hurricane forecast model can be defined as any objective tool, usually based on mathematical equations, that is designed to predict the future behavior of a hurricane(or more generally, any tropical cyclone). The primary purpose of a hurricane forecast model is to predict a hurricane's track and/or intensity(and sometimes rainfall) for the next 3-5 days(although longer lead times are possible).  2, record 9, English, - hurricane%20forecast%20model

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To produce the UV index forecast, Environment and Climate Change Canada takes data from ozone measuring stations across the country to determine the present thickness of the ozone layer. A computer model then forecasts the thickness of the ozone layer over Canada for the next day. Combining the forecast of the ozone layer with data about the height and the angle of the sun gives a UV forecast for the next day, for a clear sunny sky. Adding the amount of cloud predicted in the weather forecast then gives the amount of UV that can actually be expected. The forecast gives the maximum amount of UV expected for the day. On a clear day with no clouds, this occurs at noon(or 1 p. m. for those on daylight time), when the sun is highest in the sky.  3, record 10, English, - ultraviolet%20index%20forecast

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Pour établir les prévisions de l'indice UV, Environnement et Changement climatique Canada utilise les données provenant des stations de mesure de l'ozone réparties dans l'ensemble du pays afin de déterminer l'épaisseur de la couche d'ozone. Un modèle informatique prévoit ensuite l'épaisseur de la couche d'ozone partout au Canada, pour le lendemain. La combinaison des prévisions concernant la couche d'ozone et des données relatives à la hauteur et à l'angle du soleil fournit une prévision de l'indice UV pour le lendemain, pour du temps dégagé et ensoleillé. On y ajoute la couverture nuageuse selon les prévisions météorologiques, ce qui permet de calculer la quantité de rayons UV prévue. La prévision indique la quantité maximale de rayons UV prévue pour la journée. Par temps dégagé sans nuages, celle-ci est atteinte à midi (ou à 13 h à l'heure avancée), lorsque le soleil est à son zénith.  1, record 10, French, - pr%C3%A9vision%20de%20l%27indice%20UV

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[They] developed a trophodynamics model combining the models describing plankton dynamics and prey-predator systems among the dominant plankton and fishes in the Oyashio shelf region to forecast the response of fish production to possible changes in the physical environment.  2, record 11, English, - trophodynamics%20model

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[Il s'agit d'un] modèle trophodynamique qui permet de comprendre l'organisation et le fonctionnement trophique d'un écosystème en le considérant dans sa totalité.  1, record 11, French, - mod%C3%A8le%20trophodynamique

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Record 12,  Textual support,  English

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Nonlinear models differ from linear ones in a number of ways. Rather than trying to figure out all the chains of causality, the modeler looks for nodes where feedback loops join and tries to capture as many of the important loops as possible in the system's "picture". Rather than shaping the model to make a forecast about future events or to exercise some central control, the nonlinear modeler is content to perturb the model, trying out different variables in order to learn about the system's critical point and its homeostasis(resistance to change). The modeler is not seeking to control the complex system by quantifying it and mastering its causality;(s) he wants to increase her "intuitions" about how the system works so(s) he can interact with it more harmoniously.  1, record 12, English, - nonlinear%20model

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Les modèles non linéaires diffèrent de leurs équivalents linéaires de diverses manières. Plutôt que de tenter de déterminer toutes les chaînes de causalité, le créateur de modèles recherche les nœuds liant des boucles de rétroaction et tente de capturer le plus grand nombre possible de boucles importantes dans l'«image» du système. Plutôt que de façonner le modèle pour donner une prévision d'événements futurs ou pour exercer une sorte de contrôle central, le créateur de modèles non linéaires se contente de perturber le modèle, testant différentes variables afin d'en apprendre plus sur les points critiques du système et sur son homéostase (résistance aux changements). Il ne tente pas de contrôler le système complexe en le quantifiant et en maîtrisant sa causalité; il désire augmenter ses «intuitions» en ce qui concerne le fonctionnement du système, afin de pouvoir interagir avec lui de manière plus harmonieuse.  1, record 12, French, - mod%C3%A8le%20non%20lin%C3%A9aire

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[A] set of data withheld from the end of a series [and] to be compared with the forecast values in assessing a forecasting model.  3, record 13, English, - hold%2Dout%20sample

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Une cause très fréquente réside dans la non-représentativité de l’échantillon de données utilisé pour calibrer ou évaluer le modèle, qui peut généralement être détectée par une analyse des données à disposition, et par une comparaison statistique à l’ensemble des données sur lequel est appliqué le modèle (échantillon test).  2, record 13, French, - %C3%A9chantillon%20test

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Forecast Models: Forecasters use numerical weather models to make their forecasts. These numerical models are classified into four main classes. The first is global models, which focus on the entire northern hemisphere. The second is national models, which focus on the USA. The third is regional models. These regional models have a finer grid than national models and are run out for smaller periods of time. The final class of models is relocatable models, which do not focus on any permanent geographical location. Relocatable models are very limited on the size of the geographical area for which they can forecast, but these models have very high resolutions, or very small forecast grid boxes.  2, record 14, English, - weather%20forecast%20model

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The data were distributed less than three hours after sensing to European and North American meteorological centers for assimilation into their weather forecast model.  1, record 14, English, - weather%20forecast%20model

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Simulation informatique qui reproduit les conditions atmosphériques présentes et qui permet d'évaluer comment elles vont évoluer dans les 10 prochains jours.  1, record 14, French, - mod%C3%A8le%20de%20pr%C3%A9vision%20m%C3%A9t%C3%A9orologique

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Le modèle de prévisions SEF (Ritchie 1991) est à la base des prévisions mensuelles. Il s'agit du même modèle qui est utilisé tous les jours pour les prévisions à moyen terme (jusqu'à 10 jours), mais pour lequel quelques modifications à la dynamique et à la physique ont été apportées pour qu'il puisse fonctionner en mode climat.  3, record 14, French, - mod%C3%A8le%20de%20pr%C3%A9vision%20m%C3%A9t%C3%A9orologique

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Dérivés des modèles de prévision du temps, les modèles numériques de prévision du climat nécessitent la description de processus complexes et la mise en œuvre d'importantes campagnes de mesures.  2, record 14, French, - mod%C3%A8le%20de%20pr%C3%A9vision%20m%C3%A9t%C3%A9orologique

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La prévision météorologique repose, pour une large part, sur l'emploi de logiciels de simulation numérique de l'atmosphère, couramment appelés «modèles».  4, record 14, French, - mod%C3%A8le%20de%20pr%C3%A9vision%20m%C3%A9t%C3%A9orologique

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SHIFOR(statistical hurricane intensity forecast) is a simple statistical model, which uses climatological and persistence predictors to forecast intensity change.  1, record 15, English, - climatological%20predictor

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[The] BAM(Beta and Advection) model follows a trajectory from the Aviation Run of the MRF [medium range forecast] model to provide a track forecast.... The BAM model is run with shallow(850-700 hPa [hectopascals]), medium(850-400 hPa) and deep(850-200 hPa) vertically averaged winds models.  1, record 16, English, - Beta%20and%20Advection%20model

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To run a BAM model.  1, record 16, English, - Beta%20and%20Advection%20model

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SHIFOR(Statistical Hurricane Intensity FORecast) is a simple statistical model, which uses climatological and persistence predictors to forecast intensity change.  1, record 17, English, - statistical%20hurricane%20intensity%20forecast

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Le SHIFOR-Statistical Hurricane Intensity FORecast est utilisé pour les prévisions de changement de l'intensité.  1, record 17, French, - pr%C3%A9vision%20statistique%20de%20l%27intensit%C3%A9%20des%20ouragans

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SHIFOR(Statistical Hurricane Intensity FORecast) is a simple statistical model, which uses climatological and persistence predictors to forecast intensity change.  1, record 18, English, - intensity%20change

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... the model-fitting and forecast chart indicates that the trend and seasonability are picked up nicely by the Holt-Winters multiplicative model.  1, record 19, English, - Holt%2DWinters%20multiplicative%20model

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[...] le graphique d'ajustement du modèle et de prévision indique que la tendance et la saisonnalité sont bien intégrées par le modèle multiplicatif de Holt-Winters.  1, record 19, French, - mod%C3%A8le%20multiplicatif%20de%20Holt%2DWinters

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The output of the established business forecast model consists of the primary financial statements---annual income statements, balance sheets and cash flow statements...  2, record 20, English, - primary%20financial%20statements

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[...] états financiers d'une entité, par opposition aux notes ou annexes qui y sont jointes [...]  1, record 20, French, - %C3%A9tats%20financiers%20de%20base

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The core inflation gap is the difference between the core inflation rate forecast by the model at a six to seven-quarter horizon and the inflation target of 2 per cent.  1, record 21, English, - core%20inflation%20gap

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L'écart d'inflation selon l'indice de référence correspond à la différence entre,d'une part, le taux d'augmentation de l'indice de référence prévu à l'aide du modèle à l'horizon de six à sept trimestres et, d'autre part, le taux d'inflation visé (2 %).  1, record 21, French, - %C3%A9cart%20d%27inflation%20selon%20l%27indice%20de%20r%C3%A9f%C3%A9rence

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A computer based system for the capture, storage, retrieval, analysis and display of spatial information.  8, record 22, English, - Geographic%20Information%20System

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[This system] allows the user to combine spatial and non-spatial information from different sources. GIS also allows the user to locate and identify features, spot trends and patterns, find optimal paths between places and, forecast and model events.  8, record 22, English, - Geographic%20Information%20System

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Geographic Information System (GIS); Spatial Information System (SIS); Spatially Referenced Information System (SRIS): terms and abbreviations used at Natural Resources Canada - Earth Sciences Sector.  9, record 22, English, - Geographic%20Information%20System

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Système informatisé de cartographie qui permet de visualiser et d'analyser des informations d'ordre géographique.  9, record 22, French, - syst%C3%A8me%20d%27information%20g%C3%A9ographique

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Système d'information géographique (SIG) : Ses usages couvrent les activités géomatiques de traitement et diffusion de l'information géographique.  8, record 22, French, - syst%C3%A8me%20d%27information%20g%C3%A9ographique

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système d'information géographique (SIG); système d'information à référence(s) spatiale(s) (SIRS) : termes et abréviations en usage à Ressources naturelles Canada - Secteur des sciences de la Terre.  10, record 22, French, - syst%C3%A8me%20d%27information%20g%C3%A9ographique

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Her interest in history of meteorology is an ongoing project on the history of satellite remote sounding of meteorological data and the controversy over the use of satellite data in the operational weather forecast model.  2, record 23, English, - meteorological%20remote%20sounding

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meteorological sounding: Determination of the profile of the atmosphere at different altitudes, usually by means of radio or satellite signals.  3, record 23, English, - meteorological%20remote%20sounding

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remote sounding: The use of remote sensing equipment to observe and measure the characteristics of the Earth’s surface and various atmospheric elements.  5, record 23, English, - meteorological%20remote%20sounding

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Physical basis of remote sounding. A sounding is a vertical profile of atmospheric temperature, moisture or some other parameter. Soundings, including measurements of total water vapour content, total ozone, cloud height, cloud amount, surface temperature, etc., can be obtained from remote measurements of spectral radiance through carefully selected channels, often in the infrared (IR) or microwave regions of the electromagnetic spectrum.  6, record 23, English, - meteorological%20remote%20sounding

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Détermination du profil vertical des paramètres d'état de l'atmosphère.  2, record 23, French, - t%C3%A9l%C3%A9sondage%20m%C3%A9t%C3%A9orologique

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Forecasting method based on statistical relationships, derived over a long period of time, between observed values of a predictand and of selected variables which can be forecast by a numerical model.  4, record 24, English, - perfect%20prognosis%20method

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The relationship is then applied to predicted values of the selected variables to obtain forecast values of the predictands.  4, record 24, English, - perfect%20prognosis%20method

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Reproduced from "Titles, Names and Acronyms related to the activities of the International Oceanographic Commission of Unesco", with the authorization of Unesco.  2, record 24, English, - perfect%20prognosis%20method

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Méthode de prévision basée sur des relations statistiques, obtenues sur une longue période, entre les valeurs observées d'un prédictant et de variables choisies prévisibles par un modèle numérique.  3, record 24, French, - m%C3%A9thode%20de%20pr%C3%A9vision%20parfaite

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La relation est alors appliquée aux valeurs prévues des variables choisies pour obtenir la prévision des valeurs du prédictant.  3, record 24, French, - m%C3%A9thode%20de%20pr%C3%A9vision%20parfaite

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En prévision numérique.  1, record 24, French, - m%C3%A9thode%20de%20pr%C3%A9vision%20parfaite

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Reproduit de «Titles, Names and Acronyms related to the activities of the International Oceanographic Commission of Unesco», avec l'autorisation de l'Unesco.  1, record 24, French, - m%C3%A9thode%20de%20pr%C3%A9vision%20parfaite

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Método de predicción que hace uso de relaciones de naturaleza estadística, obtenidas a partir de series cronológicas largas, entre los valores observados de un predictando y ciertas variables seleccionadas, cuya predicción es posible con un modelo numérico.  2, record 24, Spanish, - m%C3%A9todo%20de%20predicci%C3%B3n%20perfecta

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La relación obtenida se aplica más tarde a las predicciones de los valores de las variables elegidas con objeto de obtener predicciones de los valores del predictando.  2, record 24, Spanish, - m%C3%A9todo%20de%20predicci%C3%B3n%20perfecta

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Reproducido del "Titles, Names and Acronyms related to the activities of the International Oceanographic Commission of Unesco", con la autorización de la Unesco.  1, record 24, Spanish, - m%C3%A9todo%20de%20predicci%C3%B3n%20perfecta

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For a numerical weather prediction model, statistical relations between model-forecast variables and observed weather variables, used for either correction of model-forecast variables or prediction of variables not explicitly forecast by the model.  3, record 25, English, - model%20output%20statistics

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Model output statistics [is] a set of statistical equations that uses model output to forecast the probability of precipitation, high and low temperature, cloud cover, and precipitation amount...  4, record 25, English, - model%20output%20statistics

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Model output statistics... have often taken the form of multilinear regression equations derived by screening potential model-forecast variables as predictors. The method produces forecasts of weather variables that to some extent account for the random and systematic errors in the numerical weather prediction model.  3, record 25, English, - model%20output%20statistics

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The difference between model output statistics (MOS) and perfect prognostic is that in MOS the predictand is related to the actual model output, while in perfect prog, the predictand is related to observations or representations of them at (nearly) concurrent times.  3, record 25, English, - model%20output%20statistics

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model output statistics: term rarely used in the singular form (model output statistic).  5, record 25, English, - model%20output%20statistics

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... Nested Grid Model [is] one of the operational forecast models run at NCEP [National Centers for Environmental Prediction]. The NGM is run twice daily, with forecast output out to 48 hours.  5, record 26, English, - nested%20grid%20model

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Participation in PIRCS [Project to Intercompare Regional Climate Simulations] will be beneficial for a better understanding of the advantages of using stretched and nested-grid models for different applications.  6, record 26, English, - nested%20grid%20model

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NMC - National Meteorological Center, with headquarters near Washington D.C.; now known as NCEP.  5, record 26, English, - nested%20grid%20model

Record 26,  Textual support,  French

Record number: 26, Textual support number: 1 CONT

Les modèles à grilles emboîtées répondent partiellement au besoin de couvrir plusieurs échelles, ce qui est impossible avec un modèle unique. Les modèles à grilles emboîtées officient à deux ou à plusieurs échelles; les processus centraux sont modélisés de manière précise alors que les processus périphériques le sont avec une précision suffisante pour décrire l'état de l'environnement global.  6, record 26, French, - mod%C3%A8le%20%C3%A0%20grilles%20embo%C3%AEt%C3%A9es

Record number: 26, Textual support number: 2 CONT

[Les] modèles emboîtés [...] constituent la base des systèmes opérationnels de prévision dans la plupart des services météorologiques [...]  3, record 26, French, - mod%C3%A8le%20%C3%A0%20grilles%20embo%C3%AEt%C3%A9es

Record number: 26, Textual support number: 3 CONT

La participation à PIRCS [Project to Intercompare Regional Climate Simulations] sera profitable pour mieux comprendre les avantages à utiliser des modèles à pas variables et à grille emboîtée pour différentes applications.  2, record 26, French, - mod%C3%A8le%20%C3%A0%20grilles%20embo%C3%AEt%C3%A9es

Record number: 26, Textual support number: 4 CONT

La solution classique a été de construire des modèles à grilles télescopées ou emboîtées [...]  5, record 26, French, - mod%C3%A8le%20%C3%A0%20grilles%20embo%C3%AEt%C3%A9es

Record number: 26, Textual support number: 1 OBS

Ce même besoin de très haute résolution se retrouve pour les simulations atmosphériques à méso-échelle où les modèles utilisent couramment des grilles imbriquées multiples de 4 millions de points [...] pour simuler les cas réels des dernières campagnes avec une résolution kilométrique.  7, record 26, French, - mod%C3%A8le%20%C3%A0%20grilles%20embo%C3%AEt%C3%A9es

Record 26,  Textual support,  Spanish

Record 27,  Textual support,  English

Record number: 27, Textual support number: 1 DEF

Forecast for a period generally extending beyond the normal range of the operational forecast.  5, record 27, English, - extended%20forecast

Record number: 27, Textual support number: 1 CONT

Using the extended forecast, create a five-day weather chart.  6, record 27, English, - extended%20forecast

Record number: 27, Textual support number: 2 CONT

Model resolution.... Throughout the operation, extended forecasts(about 10-day period in length) are regularly(e. g., in every 5-day interval) performed to monitor the forecast skill.  4, record 27, English, - extended%20forecast

Record number: 27, Textual support number: 1 OBS

The U.S. National Weather Service issues extended forecasts for the three- to five-day period ahead.  7, record 27, English, - extended%20forecast

Record number: 27, Textual support number: 2 OBS

Depending on the region, the period generally extends beyond 2 or 3 days. In the "Glossaire de météorologie et de climatologie" (VILME, 1980, 356), "extended forecast" is synonymous to "medium-range forecast". A "medium-range forecast" is a "forecast for a period extending generally from 2 or 3 to 10 days from the day of issue".  8, record 27, English, - extended%20forecast

Record 27,  Textual support,  French

Record number: 27, Textual support number: 1 DEF

Prévision pour une période qui s'étend généralement au-delà de l'échéance opérationnelle normale.  4, record 27, French, - pr%C3%A9vision%20%C3%A0%20%C3%A9ch%C3%A9ance%20prolong%C3%A9e

Record number: 27, Textual support number: 1 CONT

La prévision prévoit le temps qu'il fera aujourd'hui et demain. La prévision à période prolongée ou aperçu indique les tendances météorologiques générales pour une période allant jusqu'à trois jours après la prévision.  2, record 27, French, - pr%C3%A9vision%20%C3%A0%20%C3%A9ch%C3%A9ance%20prolong%C3%A9e

Record number: 27, Textual support number: 2 CONT

Prévision. [...] On peut distinguer : - la prévision immédiate qui concerne les conditions prévues dans les toutes prochaines heures (2 à 6 en général), -la prévision à courte échéance qui va de + 12 à + 48 heures, -la prévision à moyenne échéance (+ 3 à + 5 jours), qu'on essaye de prolonger jusqu'à + 7 jours dorénavant, -la prévision à échéance prolongée (au-delà de 7 jours).  5, record 27, French, - pr%C3%A9vision%20%C3%A0%20%C3%A9ch%C3%A9ance%20prolong%C3%A9e

Record number: 27, Textual support number: 3 CONT

[...] le Dr Timothy Palmer d'ECMWF [European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts], a gagné le prix «Jule Charney» de la société météorologique américaine pour ses «contributions fondamentales à la théorie et à la pratique des prévisions étendues et à la compréhension des phénomènes climatiques».  6, record 27, French, - pr%C3%A9vision%20%C3%A0%20%C3%A9ch%C3%A9ance%20prolong%C3%A9e

Record 27,  Textual support,  Spanish

Record number: 27, Textual support number: 1 DEF

Predicción (pronóstico) con un período que se extiende en general más allá del plazo operativo normal.  1, record 27, Spanish, - predicci%C3%B3n%20ampliada

Record 28,  Textual support,  English

Record number: 28, Textual support number: 1 DEF

Specified period of time to which the conditions stated in a weather forecast refer.  6, record 28, English, - period%20of%20validity

Record number: 28, Textual support number: 1 CONT

The Costello Geomagnetic Activity Index model ... is a neural network algorithm that was trained on the response of the Kp geomagnetic activity index to solar wind parameters. The model takes the most recent two hours of solar wind data and returns a 3-hour activity index prediction in units of Kp. The valid time of the prediction is indicated on the output graphics by horizontal bars.  3, record 28, English, - period%20of%20validity

Record number: 28, Textual support number: 2 CONT

Guide to the Regional [Weather] Forecast Maps ... The "Forecast Period" gives the 24-hour time span for which the plotted data are valid.  7, record 28, English, - period%20of%20validity

Record number: 28, Textual support number: 3 CONT

... Weather Forecasting System.... The operational run schedule is listed in the table below. Each run is identified by three characters followed by the forecast length in hours. The first character is the model identification, and the next two digits are the initial hour. As an example G00+48h means a model "G" analysis at 00 UTC followed by a 48 hours forecast.  8, record 28, English, - period%20of%20validity

Record 28,  Textual support,  French

Record number: 28, Textual support number: 1 DEF

Intervalle de temps spécifié pendant lequel les conditions indiquées dans une prévision météorologique sont valables.  3, record 28, French, - p%C3%A9riode%20de%20validit%C3%A9

Record number: 28, Textual support number: 1 OBS

période de validité des prévisions : terme uniformisé par le Comité d'uniformisation de la terminologie aéronautique (CUTA) - Opérations aériennes.  4, record 28, French, - p%C3%A9riode%20de%20validit%C3%A9

Record 28,  Textual support,  Spanish

Record number: 28, Textual support number: 1 DEF

Período de tiempo especificado durante el cual tienen validez las condiciones enunciadas en una predicción meteorológica.  2, record 28, Spanish, - per%C3%ADodo%20de%20validez

Record 29,  Textual support,  English

Record number: 29, Textual support number: 1 CONT

Comparisons of the predicted benefit of optimal use of ENSO [El Niño-Southern Oscillation] phase information with that of perfect rainfall tercile predictions, perfect forecasts of monthly mean climate variables, and perfect knowledge of future daily weather demonstrates the case for improved accuracy in forecasts.  5, record 29, English, - perfect%20weather%20forecast

Record number: 29, Textual support number: 2 CONT

"Perfect" forecasts are sometimes used as an upper limit to forecast value.  6, record 29, English, - perfect%20weather%20forecast

Record number: 29, Textual support number: 1 OBS

perfect prognosis method : Forecasting method based on statistical relationships, derived over a long period of time, between observed values of a predictand and of selected variables which can be forecast by a numerical model. The relationship is then applied to predicted values of the selected variables to obtain forecast values of the predictands.  7, record 29, English, - perfect%20weather%20forecast

Record 29,  Textual support,  French

Record number: 29, Textual support number: 1 CONT

Afin de comparer les performances de différents systèmes de prévision du temps, on propose une approche générale : évaluer les prévisions entre une référence basse - la climatologie - et une référence haute - la prévision parfaite.  3, record 29, French, - pr%C3%A9vision%20parfaite

Record number: 29, Textual support number: 1 OBS

méthode de la prévision parfaite : Méthode de prévision basée sur des relations statistiques, obtenues sur une longue période, entre les valeurs observées d'un prédictant et de variables choisies prévisibles par un modèle numérique. La relation est alors appliquée aux valeurs prévues des variables choisies pour obtenir la prévision des valeurs du prédictant.  4, record 29, French, - pr%C3%A9vision%20parfaite

Record 29,  Textual support,  Spanish

Record number: 29, Textual support number: 1 OBS

método de la predicción perfecta : Método de predicción que hace uso de relaciones de naturaleza estadística, obtenidas a partir de series cronológicas largas, entre los valores observados de un predictando y ciertas variables seleccionadas, cuya predicción es posible con un modelo numérico. La relación obtenida se aplica más tarde a las predicciones de los valores de las variables elegidas con objeto de obtener predicciones de los valores del predictando.  2, record 29, Spanish, - predicci%C3%B3n%20perfecta

Record 30,  Textual support,  English

Record number: 30, Textual support number: 1 CONT

The forecast model defines the way in which the system will base the calculation of future requirements.  2, record 30, English, - forecast%20model

Record 30,  Textual support,  French

Record 30,  Textual support,  Spanish

Record 31,  Textual support,  English

Record number: 31, Textual support number: 1 DEF

Forecast using a model which takes account of vertical wind shears and horizontal temperature gradients, thus permitting disturbances to grow by converting potential into kinetic energy.  1, record 31, English, - baroclinic%20forecast

Record 31,  Textual support,  French

Record number: 31, Textual support number: 1 DEF

Prévision utilisant un modèle tenant compte des cisaillements verticaux de vent et des gradients horizontaux de température, ce qui permet aux perturbations de se développer par conversion de l'énergie potentielle en énergie cinétique.  1, record 31, French, - pr%C3%A9vision%20barocline

Record 31,  Textual support,  Spanish

Record number: 31, Textual support number: 1 DEF

Predicción basada en un modelo que incluye la cortante vertical del viento y los gradientes horizontales de la temperatura, por lo que permite reproducir el proceso de conversión de energía potencial en cinética y la evolución de las perturbaciones.  1, record 31, Spanish, - predicci%C3%B3n%20barocl%C3%ADnica

Record 32,  Textual support,  English

Record number: 32, Textual support number: 1 DEF

Forecast, usually for mid-troposphere, based on a numerical barotropic model.  1, record 32, English, - barotropic%20forecast

Record 32,  Textual support,  French

Record number: 32, Textual support number: 1 DEF

Prévision, habituellement pour la moyenne troposphère, basée sur un modèle numérique barotrope.  1, record 32, French, - pr%C3%A9vision%20barotrope

Record 32,  Textual support,  Spanish

Record number: 32, Textual support number: 1 DEF

Predicción (pronóstico), habitualmente para la troposfera media, basado en un modelo numérico barotrópico.  1, record 32, Spanish, - predicci%C3%B3n%20barotr%C3%B3pica

Record 33,  Textual support,  English

Record number: 33, Textual support number: 1 OBS

The Portfolio Risk and Institution Simulation Model(PRISM) is a forecasting tool designed to assist CDIC in performing risk analyses on member institutions. The basic premise underlying the model is that the forecast of future performance is uncertain. Rather than producing a single outcome as in traditional forecasting, PRISM produces a range of forecast outcomes with associated probabilities of occurrence, which should provide valuable insight into the volatility, or risk, an institution may be subject to in the future.  1, record 33, English, - Portfolio%20Risk%20and%20Institution%20Simulation%20Model

Record 33,  Textual support,  French

Record number: 33, Textual support number: 1 OBS

Le Modèle d'évaluation des risques par simulation (MERS) sert à établir des prévisions quant au risque que pourraient représenter, pour la SADC, ses institutions membres. Ce modèle repose sur le principe que toute prévision est incertaine. Contrairement aux méthodes de prévision traditionnelles, dont ne se dégage qu'un seul scénario possible, le MERS aboutit à plusieurs résultats possibles selon différentes conjonctures et détermine leurs probabilités de réalisation.  1, record 33, French, - Mod%C3%A8le%20d%27%C3%A9valuation%20des%20risques%20par%20simulation

Record 33,  Textual support,  Spanish

Record 34,  Textual support,  English

Record number: 34, Textual support number: 1 CONT

To prepare a [flood] forecast, the NWS [National Weather Service] runs two kinds of computer model. First, a hydrologic model calculates how much water is available from recent rain, snow and hail, the estimates how much of it will evaporate or seep into the ground.... Second, a hydraulic model routes the runoff downstream, summing the flows as watercourses merge.  2, record 34, English, - computer%2Dbased%20model

Record number: 34, Textual support number: 2 CONT

... computer-based models of human behavior....  3, record 34, English, - computer%2Dbased%20model

Record number: 34, Textual support number: 1 OBS

A Model of company operations is built through such techniques as simulation and mathematical programming to study the complex effects of various decisions. Constructing the model is often a huge task.  4, record 34, English, - computer%2Dbased%20model

Record 34,  Textual support,  French

Record number: 34, Textual support number: 1 CONT

[...] les enfants devaient pouvoir bénéficier [...] de ce que les modèles informatiques semblaient en mesure de donner forme concrète à des domaines de la connaissance qui avaient toujours paru, jusqu'alors, irrémédiablement intangibles et abstraits.  1, record 34, French, - mod%C3%A8le%20informatique

Record 34,  Textual support,  Spanish

Record 35,  Textual support,  English

Record number: 35, Textual support number: 1 OBS

of a forecast model.  1, record 35, English, - operational%20run

Record 35,  Textual support,  French

Record number: 35, Textual support number: 1 OBS

d'un modèle de prévisions.  2, record 35, French, - passe%20de%20production

Record 35,  Textual support,  Spanish

Record 36,  Textual support,  English

Record number: 36, Textual support number: 1 DEF

Limited area forecast model using a fine-mesh grid.  1, record 36, English, - limited%20fine%2Dmesh%20model

Record 36,  Textual support,  French

Record number: 36, Textual support number: 1 DEF

Modèle de prévision sur une zone peu étendue, utilisant une grille à maille fine.  1, record 36, French, - mod%C3%A8le%20%C3%A0%20maille%20fine%20pour%20zone%20limit%C3%A9e

Record 36,  Textual support,  Spanish

Record number: 36, Textual support number: 1 DEF

Modelo de predicción para un área limitada que hace uso de un retículo fino.  1, record 36, Spanish, - modelo%20de%20ret%C3%ADculo%20fino%20para%20un%20%C3%A1rea%20limitada

Record 37,  Textual support,  English

Record number: 37, Textual support number: 1 OBS

References :"Tests of a Fine-Mesh Model over Europe and the United States", Monthly Weather Review, Vol 107, pp 980-982, Richard Anthes and Daniel Keyser, August 1979, and "Case Study : Revised Analyses and Their Impact on a Numerical Forecast over the Eastern Pacific Ocean", E Kirkwood, & "Cloud and Precipitation Verification of CMC Subjective Prognosis", G Pellerin, in The Monthly Review, V II, No 12.  1, record 37, English, - near%20zonal%20stream

Record 37,  Textual support,  French

Record 37,  Textual support,  Spanish

Record 38,  Textual support,  English

Record number: 38, Textual support number: 1 OBS

a forecast based on a model of the future, involving a greater degree of understanding than a simple extrapolation.  1, record 38, English, - heuristic%20forecast

Record 38,  Textual support,  French

Record number: 38, Textual support number: 1 OBS

Prévision qui se fonde sur un modèle de l'avenir, comportant un plus grand degré de compréhension qu'une simple extrapolation.  1, record 38, French, - pr%C3%A9vision%20heuristique

Record 38,  Textual support,  Spanish