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NUMERICAL WEATHER FORECAST [35 records]

Record 1 2022-10-17

English

Subject field(s)
  • Meteorological Forecasting, Data Measurement and Analysis
CONT

Ensemble Prediction Systems(EPS) are numerical weather prediction(NWP) systems that allow us to estimate the uncertainty in a weather forecast as well as the most likely outcome. Instead of running the NWP model once(a deterministic forecast), the model is run many times from very slightly different initial conditions.

French

Domaine(s)
  • Prévisions météorologiques et mesure et analyse des données
CONT

Les systèmes de prévision d'ensemble sont des systèmes de prévision numérique du temps qui nous permettent d'évaluer l'incertitude des prévisions météorologiques ainsi que leurs incidences les plus probables. Au lieu de faire tourner le modèle de prévision numérique une seule fois (prévision déterministe), on le fait tourner plusieurs fois avec des conditions initiales très légèrement différentes.

Spanish

Save record 1

Record 2 2022-06-14

English

Subject field(s)
  • Meteorological Forecasting, Data Measurement and Analysis
CONT

In terms of rainfall predictions, the general weather forecast is considered more accurate as regional affects are included. However, general weather forecasts are limited to brief rainfall descriptions, such as "chance of showers" rather than numerical estimates.

French

Domaine(s)
  • Prévisions météorologiques et mesure et analyse des données
CONT

Nous sommes sous le coup d'une météo instable cette semaine. L'instabilité se caractérise bien souvent par des averses qui peuvent nous surprendre. C'est pour cela que nous parlons de risque d'averses. Toutefois, il se peut que nous ne recevions aucune goutte d'eau quand nous nous trouvons dans une zone où il y a un risque d'averses.

Spanish

Save record 2

Record 3 2017-01-20

English

Subject field(s)
  • Meteorological Forecasting, Data Measurement and Analysis
CONT

Forecast Models : Forecasters use numerical weather models to make their forecasts. These numerical models are classified into four main classes. The first is global models, which focus on the entire northern hemisphere. The second is national models, which focus on the USA. The third is regional models. These regional models have a finer grid than national models and are run out for smaller periods of time. The final class of models is relocatable models, which do not focus on any permanent geographical location. Relocatable models are very limited on the size of the geographical area for which they can forecast, but these models have very high resolutions, or very small forecast grid boxes.

CONT

The data were distributed less than three hours after sensing to European and North American meteorological centers for assimilation into their weather forecast model.

Key term(s)
  • forecast weather model

French

Domaine(s)
  • Prévisions météorologiques et mesure et analyse des données
DEF

Simulation informatique qui reproduit les conditions atmosphériques présentes et qui permet d'évaluer comment elles vont évoluer dans les 10 prochains jours.

CONT

Le modèle de prévisions SEF (Ritchie 1991) est à la base des prévisions mensuelles. Il s'agit du même modèle qui est utilisé tous les jours pour les prévisions à moyen terme (jusqu'à 10 jours), mais pour lequel quelques modifications à la dynamique et à la physique ont été apportées pour qu'il puisse fonctionner en mode climat.

CONT

Dérivés des modèles de prévision du temps, les modèles numériques de prévision du climat nécessitent la description de processus complexes et la mise en œuvre d'importantes campagnes de mesures.

OBS

La prévision météorologique repose, pour une large part, sur l'emploi de logiciels de simulation numérique de l'atmosphère, couramment appelés «modèles».

Key term(s)
  • modèle de prévisions du temps
  • modèle de prévisions météorologiques

Spanish

Save record 3

Record 4 2004-01-28

English

Subject field(s)
  • Modelling (Mathematics)
  • Meteorological Forecasting, Data Measurement and Analysis
DEF

For a numerical weather prediction model, statistical relations between model-forecast variables and observed weather variables, used for either correction of model-forecast variables or prediction of variables not explicitly forecast by the model.

CONT

Model output statistics [is] a set of statistical equations that uses model output to forecast the probability of precipitation, high and low temperature, cloud cover, and precipitation amount ...

CONT

Model output statistics... have often taken the form of multilinear regression equations derived by screening potential model-forecast variables as predictors. The method produces forecasts of weather variables that to some extent account for the random and systematic errors in the numerical weather prediction model.

OBS

The difference between model output statistics (MOS) and perfect prognostic is that in MOS the predictand is related to the actual model output, while in perfect prog, the predictand is related to observations or representations of them at (nearly) concurrent times.

OBS

model output statistics: term rarely used in the singular form (model output statistic).

Key term(s)
  • model output statistic

French

Domaine(s)
  • Modélisation (Mathématique)
  • Prévisions météorologiques et mesure et analyse des données
Key term(s)
  • statistique de sortie de modèle
  • statistique des sorties de modèle
  • donnée des prévisions numériques

Spanish

Campo(s) temático(s)
  • Modelización (Matemáticas)
  • Previsiones meteorológicas, medición y análisis de datos
Save record 4

Record 5 2002-12-03

English

Subject field(s)
  • Meteorological Forecasting, Data Measurement and Analysis
CONT

Forecast Models : Forecasters use numerical weather models to make their forecasts. These numerical models are classified into four main classes. The first is global models, which focus on the entire northern hemisphere. The second is national models, which focus on the USA. The third is regional models. These regional models have a finer grid than national models and are run out for smaller periods of time. The final class of models is relocatable models, which do not focus on any permanent geographical location. Relocatable models are very limited on the size of the geographical area for which they can forecast, but these models have very high resolutions, or very small forecast grid boxes.

French

Domaine(s)
  • Prévisions météorologiques et mesure et analyse des données
CONT

La méthode à points de grille exigera alors que certaines conditions soient remplies aux frontières de la maille horizontale, conditions qui sont généralement fournies par un modèle hémisphérique ou global.

Spanish

Save record 5

Record 6 2002-06-06

English

Subject field(s)
  • Meteorological Forecasting, Data Measurement and Analysis
DEF

Forecaster's judgement, based on an analysis or a numerical forecast, of the future development of a weather situation.

French

Domaine(s)
  • Prévisions météorologiques et mesure et analyse des données
DEF

Jugement du prévisionniste, basé sur une analyse ou une prévision numérique, de l'évolution future de la situation météorologique.

Spanish

Campo(s) temático(s)
  • Previsiones meteorológicas, medición y análisis de datos
DEF

Juicio emitido por un predictor sobre las condiciones futuras de la atmósfera, basado en un análisis.

Save record 6

Record 7 2002-03-18

English

Subject field(s)
  • Weather Stations and Meteorological Instruments and Equipment
CONT

The Center for Weather Forecasts and Climate Studies(CPTEC) of the National Institute for Space Research(INPE), located in Cachoeira Paulista, São Paulo, Brazil, develops, produces and disseminates weather forecasts as well as seasonal climate forecasts since early 1995.... It is a regional focal point for numerical seasonal climate forecast for Brazil and the rest of the continent.

French

Domaine(s)
  • Stations, instruments et équipements météorologiques

Spanish

Campo(s) temático(s)
  • Estaciones, instrumentos y equipos meteorológicos
Save record 7

Record 8 1986-03-31

English

Subject field(s)
  • Meteorology
OBS

References :"Relation of Numerical Weather Element Prediction in Canada to the State of the Art", C Anderson, "CMC Objective Cloud Cover Forecasts-the Production, Interpretation and Use", R Verret, & "Development of a MOS System to Forecast the Probability of Precipitation", N Yacowar, G Richard, N Brunet, H Yang, in CMC Information, V II, No 4.

French

Domaine(s)
  • Météorologie

Spanish

Save record 8

Record 9 1986-03-31

English

Subject field(s)
  • Organizations, Administrative Units and Committees
  • Weather Stations and Meteorological Instruments and Equipment
OBS

References :"Relation of Numerical Weather Element Prediction in Canada to the State of the Art", C. Anderson, "CMC Objective Cloud Cover Forecasts-the Production, Interpretation and Use", R. Verret, and Development of a MOS System to Forecast the Probability of Precipitation", N. Yacowar, G. Richard, N. Brunet, H. Yang, in CMC Information, VII, No. 4.

Key term(s)
  • Quebec Meteorological Center

French

Domaine(s)
  • Organismes, unités administratives et comités
  • Stations, instruments et équipements météorologiques

Spanish

Save record 9

Record 10 1986-03-31

English

Subject field(s)
  • Meteorology
OBS

References :"Case Study : Revised Analyses and Their Impact on a Numerical Forecast over the Eastern Pacific Ocean", E Kirkwood, & "Cloud and Precipitation Verification of CMC Subjective Prognosis", G Pellerin, in The Monthly Review, V II, No 12; "Parameterization of Clouds, Precipitation and Radiation for Forecast Models", Yves Delage, September 1979; and "On the Influence of the Technique of Nonlinear Normal Mode Initialization on the Nonconvective Precipitation Rate", Lejenas, H, 1980, Monthly Weather Review, Vol 108.

French

Domaine(s)
  • Météorologie

Spanish

Save record 10

Record 11 1986-03-31

English

Subject field(s)
  • Meteorology
OBS

References :"Relation of Numerical Weather Element Prediction in Canada to the State of the Art", C Anderson, "CMC Objective Cloud Cover Forecasts-the Production, Interpretation and Use", R Verret, & "Development of a MOS System to Forecast the Probability of Precipitation", N Yacowar, G Richard, N Brunet, H Yang, in CMC Information, V II, No 4.

French

Domaine(s)
  • Météorologie

Spanish

Save record 11

Record 12 1986-03-31

English

Subject field(s)
  • Meteorology
OBS

References :"Relation of Numerical Weather Element Prediction in Canada to the State of the Art", C Anderson, "CMC Objective Cloud Cover Forecasts-the Production, Interpretation and Use", R Verret, & Development of a MOS System to Forecast the Probability of Precipitation", N Yacowar, G Richard, N Brunet, H Yang, in CMC Information, V II, No 4.

French

Domaine(s)
  • Météorologie

Spanish

Save record 12

Record 13 1986-03-31

English

Subject field(s)
  • Meteorology
OBS

References :"Relation of Numerical Weather Element Prediction in Canada to the State of the Art", C Anderson, "CMC Objective Cloud Cover Forecasts-the Production, Interpretation and Use", R Verret, & Development of a MOS System to Forecast the Probability of Precipitation", N Yacowar, G Richard, N Brunet, H Yang, in CMC Information, V II, No 4.

French

Domaine(s)
  • Météorologie

Spanish

Save record 13

Record 14 1986-03-31

English

Subject field(s)
  • Meteorology
OBS

References :"Relation of Numerical Weather Element Prediction in Canada to the State of the Art", C Anderson, "CMC Objective Cloud Cover Forecasts-the Production, Interpretation and Use", R Verret, & "Development of a MOS system to Forecast the Probability of Precipitation", N Yacowar, G Richard, N Brunet, H Yang, in CMC Information, V II, No 4.

French

Domaine(s)
  • Météorologie

Spanish

Save record 14

Record 15 1986-03-31

English

Subject field(s)
  • Meteorology
OBS

References :"Relation of Numerical Weather Element Prediction in Canada to the State of the Art", C Anderson, "CMC Objective Cloud Cover Forecasts-the Production, Interpretation and Use", R Verret, & "Development of a MOS System to Forecast the Probability of Precipitation", N Yacowar, G Richard, N Brunet, H Yang, in CMC Information, V II, No 4.

French

Domaine(s)
  • Météorologie

Spanish

Save record 15

Record 16 1986-03-31

English

Subject field(s)
  • Meteorology
OBS

References :"The Value of Observational Data in the Forecast Production Process", I Findleton, "Numerical Weather Element Data to Day 5-An Experimental Output Form", M Dunlop, K Johnstone, & Objective and Numerical Forecasting", J Hallé, in CMC Information, Vol III, No 1.

French

Domaine(s)
  • Météorologie

Spanish

Save record 16

Record 17 1986-03-31

English

Subject field(s)
  • Meteorology
OBS

References :"Relation of Numerical Weather Element Prediction in Canada to the State of the Art", C Anderson, "CMC Objective Cloud Cover Forecasts-the Production, Interpretation and Use", R Verret, & "Development of a MOS System to Forecast the Probability of Precipitation", N Yacowar, G Richard, N Brunet, H Yang, in CMC Information, V II, No 4.

French

Domaine(s)
  • Météorologie

Spanish

Save record 17

Record 18 1986-03-31

English

Subject field(s)
  • Meteorology
OBS

References :"Relation of Numerical Weather Element Prediction in Canada to the State of the Art", C Anderson, "CMC Objective Cloud Cover Forecasts-the Production, Interpretation and Use", R Verret, & Development of a MOS System to Forecast the Probability of Precipitation", N Yacowar, G Richard, N Brunet, H Yang, in CMC Information, V II, No 4.

French

Domaine(s)
  • Météorologie

Spanish

Save record 18

Record 19 1986-03-31

English

Subject field(s)
  • Meteorology
OBS

References :"Relation of Numerical Weather Element Prediction in Canada to the State of the Art", C Anderson, "CMC Objective Cloud Cover Forecasts-the Production, Interpretation and Use", R Verret, & "Development of a MOS System to Forecast the Probability of Precipitation", N Yacowar, G Richard, N Brunet, H Yang, in CMC Information, V II, No 4.

French

Domaine(s)
  • Météorologie

Spanish

Save record 19

Record 20 1986-03-31

English

Subject field(s)
  • Meteorology
OBS

References :"Relation of Numerical Weather Element Prediction in Canada to the State of the Art", C Anderson, "CMC Objective Cloud Cover Forecasts-the Production, Interpretation and Use", R Verret, & "Development of a MOS System to Forecast the Probability of Precipitation", N Yacowar, G Richard, N Brunet, H Yang, in CMC Information, V II, No 4.

French

Domaine(s)
  • Météorologie

Spanish

Save record 20

Record 21 1986-03-31

English

Subject field(s)
  • Meteorology
OBS

References :"Relation of Numerical Weather Element Prediction in Canada to the State of the Art", C Anderson, "CMC Objective Cloud Cover Forecasts-the Production, Interpretation and Use", R Verret, & "Development of a MOS System to Forecast the Probability of Precipitation", N Yacowar, G Richard, N Brunet, H Yang, in CMC Information, V II, No 4.

French

Domaine(s)
  • Météorologie

Spanish

Save record 21

Record 22 1986-03-31

English

Subject field(s)
  • Meteorology
OBS

References :"The Value of Observational Data in the Forecast Production Process", I Findleton, "Numerical Weather Element Data to Day 5-An Experimental output Form", M Dunlop, K Johnstone, & "Numerical Processing of Satellite Data at the CMC : Effects on Objective and Numerical Forecasting", J Hallé, in CMC Information, Vol III, No 1.

French

Domaine(s)
  • Météorologie

Spanish

Save record 22

Record 23 1986-03-31

English

Subject field(s)
  • Meteorology
OBS

References :"Relation of Numerical Weather Element Prediction in Canada to the State of the Art", C Anderson, "CMC Objective Cloud Cover Forecasts-the Production, Interpretation and Use", R Verret, & "Development of a MOS System to Forecast the Probability of Precipitation", N Yacowar, G Richard, N Brunet, H Yang, in CMC Information, V II, No 4.

French

Domaine(s)
  • Météorologie

Spanish

Save record 23

Record 24 1986-03-31

English

Subject field(s)
  • Meteorology
OBS

References :"Relation of Numerical Weather Element Prediction in Canada to the State of the Art", C Anderson, "CMC Objective Cloud Cover Forecasts-the Production, Interpretation and Use", R Verret, & "Development of MOS System to Forecast the Probability of Precipitation", N Yacowar, G Richard, N Brunet, H Yang, in CMC Information, V II, No 4.

French

Domaine(s)
  • Météorologie

Spanish

Save record 24

Record 25 1986-03-31

English

Subject field(s)
  • Meteorology
OBS

References :"Tests of a Fine-Mesh Model over Europe and the United States", Monthly Weather Review, Vol 107, pp 980-982, Richard Anthes and Daniel Keyser, August 1979, and "Case Study : Revised Analyses and Their Impact on a Numerical Forecast over the Eastern Pacific Ocean", E Kirkwood, & "Cloud and Precipitation Verification of CMC Subjective Prognosis", G Pellerin, in The Monthly Review, V II, No 12.

French

Domaine(s)
  • Météorologie

Spanish

Save record 25

Record 26 1986-03-31

English

Subject field(s)
  • Meteorology
OBS

References :"Relation of Numerical Weather Element Prediction in Canada to the State of the Art", C Anderson, "CMC Objective Cloud Cover Forecasts-the Production, Interpretation and Use", R Verret, & "Development of a MOS System to Forecast the Probability of Precipitation", N Yacowar, G Richard, N Brunet, H Yang, in CMC Information, V II, No 4.

French

Domaine(s)
  • Météorologie

Spanish

Save record 26

Record 27 1986-03-31

English

Subject field(s)
  • Meteorology
OBS

References :"The Value of Observational Data in the Forecast Production Process", I Findleton, "Numerical Weather Element Data to Day 5-An Experimental Output Form", M Dunlop, K Johnstone, & "Numerical Processing of Satellite Data at the CMC : Effects on Objective and Numerical Forecasting", J Hallé, in CMC Information, Vol III, No 1.

French

Domaine(s)
  • Météorologie

Spanish

Save record 27

Record 28 1986-03-31

English

Subject field(s)
  • Meteorology
OBS

References :"Relation of Numerical Weather Element Prediction in Canada to the State of the Art", C Anderson, "CMC Objective Cloud Cover Forecasts-the Production, Interpretation and Use", R Verret, & "Development of a MOS System to Forecast the Probability of Precipitation", N Yacowar, G Richard, N Brunet, H Yang, in CMC Information, V II, No 4.

French

Domaine(s)
  • Météorologie

Spanish

Save record 28

Record 29 1986-03-31

English

Subject field(s)
  • Meteorology
OBS

References :"Relation of Numerical Weather Element Prediction in Canada to the State of the Art", C Anderson, "CMC Objective Cloud Cover Forecasts-the Production, Interpretation and Use", R Verret, & "Development of a MOS System to Forecast the Probability of Precipitation", N Yacowar, G Richard, N Brunet, H Yang, in CMC Information, V II, No 4.

French

Domaine(s)
  • Météorologie
OBS

Référence : "Filtrage spatial et post-traitement", "Principales différences entre V8 et V9", "Analyse de l'humidité", and "Bogus de l'humidité", Chapters IV - VII, Notes for RPN course ?

Spanish

Save record 29

Record 30 1986-03-31

English

Subject field(s)
  • Meteorology
OBS

References :"Relation of Numerical Weather Element Prediction in Canada to the State of the Art", C Anderson, "CMC Objective Cloud Cover Forecasts-the Production, Interpretation and Use", R Verret, & "Development of a MOS System to Forecast the Probability of Precipitation", N Yacowar, G Richard, N Brunet, H Yang, in CMC Information, V II, No 4.

French

Domaine(s)
  • Météorologie

Spanish

Save record 30

Record 31 1986-03-31

English

Subject field(s)
  • Meteorology
OBS

References :"Relation of Numerical Weather Element Prediction in Canada to the State of the Art", C Anderson, "CMC Objective Cloud Cover Forecasts-the Production, Interpretation and Use", R Verret, & "Development of a MOS System to Forecast the Probability of Precipitation", N Yacowar, G Richard, N Brunet, H Yang, in CMC Information, V II, No 4.

French

Domaine(s)
  • Météorologie

Spanish

Save record 31

Record 32 1986-03-31

English

Subject field(s)
  • Meteorology
OBS

References :"Relation of Numerical Weather Element Prediction in Canada to the State of the Art", C Anderson, "CMC Objective Cloud Cover Forecasts-the Production, Interpretation and Use", R Verret, & "Development of a MOS System to Forecast the Probability of Precipitation", N Yacowar, G Richard, N Brunet, H Yang, in CMC Information, V II, No 4.

French

Domaine(s)
  • Météorologie

Spanish

Save record 32

Record 33 1986-03-31

English

Subject field(s)
  • Meteorology
OBS

References :"Relation of Numerical Weather Element Prediction in Canada to the State of the Art", C Anderson, "CMC Objective Cloud Cover Forecasts-the Production, Interpretation and Use", R Verret, & "Development of a MOS System to Forecast the Probability of Precipitation", N Yacowar, G Richard, N Brunet, H Yang, in CMC Information, V II, No 4.

French

Domaine(s)
  • Météorologie

Spanish

Save record 33

Record 34 1986-03-31

English

Subject field(s)
  • Meteorology
OBS

References :"The Value of Observational Data in the Forecast Production Process", I Findleton, "Numerical Weather Element Data to Day 5-An Experimental Output Form", M Dunlop, K Johnstone, & "Numerical Processing of Satellite Data at the CMC : Effects on Objective and Numerical Forecasting", J Hallé, in CMC Information, Vol III, No 1.

French

Domaine(s)
  • Météorologie

Spanish

Save record 34

Record 35 1986-03-31

English

Subject field(s)
  • Meteorology
OBS

References :"Relation of Numerical Weather Element Prediction in Canada to the State of the Art", C Anderson, "CMC Objective Cloud Cover Forecasts-the Production, Interpretation and Use", R verret, & "Development of a MOS System to Forecast the Probability of Precipitation", N Yacowar, G Richard, N Brunet, H Yang, in CMC Information, V II, No 4.

French

Domaine(s)
  • Météorologie

Spanish

Save record 35

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