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ENSEMBLE FORECASTING [3 records]
Record 1 - internal organization data 2022-10-17
Record 1, English
Record 1, Subject field(s)
- Meteorological Forecasting, Data Measurement and Analysis
Record 1, Main entry term, English
- ensemble weather forecasting
1, record 1, English, ensemble%20weather%20forecasting
correct
Record 1, Abbreviations, English
Record 1, Synonyms, English
- ensemble forecasting 2, record 1, English, ensemble%20forecasting
correct
Record 1, Textual support, English
Record number: 1, Textual support number: 1 CONT
Ensemble forecasting is useful for improving average forecast accuracy, suggesting a range of possibilities and their probability, estimating the decay of forecast skill as a function of forecast lead time, and even suggesting where extra observations could be targeted. 3, record 1, English, - ensemble%20weather%20forecasting
Record 1, French
Record 1, Domaine(s)
- Prévisions météorologiques et mesure et analyse des données
Record 1, Main entry term, French
- prévision météorologique d'ensemble
1, record 1, French, pr%C3%A9vision%20m%C3%A9t%C3%A9orologique%20d%27ensemble
correct, feminine noun
Record 1, Abbreviations, French
Record 1, Synonyms, French
- prévision d'ensemble 2, record 1, French, pr%C3%A9vision%20d%27ensemble
correct, feminine noun
Record 1, Textual support, French
Record number: 1, Textual support number: 1 CONT
La prévision d'ensemble est une méthode de prévision numérique qui vise à appréhender et quantifier l'incertitude inhérente à toute prévision météorologique. La prévision d'ensemble ne cherche pas à fournir une unique prévision déterministe, mais un ensemble de scénarios dont les variations sont représentatives de l'incertitude liée à la prévision de l'état de l'écoulement atmosphérique. 3, record 1, French, - pr%C3%A9vision%20m%C3%A9t%C3%A9orologique%20d%27ensemble
Record 1, Spanish
Record 1, Textual support, Spanish
Record 2 - internal organization data 2022-10-17
Record 2, English
Record 2, Subject field(s)
- Meteorological Forecasting, Data Measurement and Analysis
Record 2, Main entry term, English
- ensemble weather forecast system
1, record 2, English, ensemble%20weather%20forecast%20system
correct
Record 2, Abbreviations, English
Record 2, Synonyms, English
- ensemble weather forecasting system 2, record 2, English, ensemble%20weather%20forecasting%20%20system
correct
- ensemble weather prediction system 3, record 2, English, ensemble%20weather%20prediction%20system
correct
- ensemble forecast system 4, record 2, English, ensemble%20forecast%20system
correct
- ensemble forecasting system 5, record 2, English, ensemble%20forecasting%20%20system
correct
- ensemble prediction system 6, record 2, English, ensemble%20prediction%20system
correct
- EPS 7, record 2, English, EPS
correct
- EPS 7, record 2, English, EPS
Record 2, Textual support, English
Record number: 2, Textual support number: 1 CONT
Ensemble Prediction Systems (EPS) are numerical weather prediction (NWP) systems that allow us to estimate the uncertainty in a weather forecast as well as the most likely outcome. Instead of running the NWP model once (a deterministic forecast), the model is run many times from very slightly different initial conditions. 7, record 2, English, - ensemble%20weather%20forecast%20system
Record 2, French
Record 2, Domaine(s)
- Prévisions météorologiques et mesure et analyse des données
Record 2, Main entry term, French
- système de prévision météorologique d'ensemble
1, record 2, French, syst%C3%A8me%20de%20pr%C3%A9vision%20m%C3%A9t%C3%A9orologique%20d%27ensemble
correct, masculine noun
Record 2, Abbreviations, French
Record 2, Synonyms, French
- système de prévision d'ensemble 2, record 2, French, syst%C3%A8me%20de%20pr%C3%A9vision%20d%27ensemble
correct, masculine noun
Record 2, Textual support, French
Record number: 2, Textual support number: 1 CONT
Les systèmes de prévision d'ensemble sont des systèmes de prévision numérique du temps qui nous permettent d'évaluer l'incertitude des prévisions météorologiques ainsi que leurs incidences les plus probables. Au lieu de faire tourner le modèle de prévision numérique une seule fois (prévision déterministe), on le fait tourner plusieurs fois avec des conditions initiales très légèrement différentes. 3, record 2, French, - syst%C3%A8me%20de%20pr%C3%A9vision%20m%C3%A9t%C3%A9orologique%20d%27ensemble
Record 2, Spanish
Record 2, Textual support, Spanish
Record 3 - internal organization data 2012-03-02
Record 3, English
Record 3, Subject field(s)
- Meteorological Forecasting, Data Measurement and Analysis
Record 3, Main entry term, English
- medium-range forecast
1, record 3, English, medium%2Drange%20forecast
correct, see observation
Record 3, Abbreviations, English
Record 3, Synonyms, English
- medium-range prediction 2, record 3, English, medium%2Drange%20prediction
correct
- medium-term forecast 3, record 3, English, medium%2Dterm%20forecast
correct
Record 3, Textual support, English
Record number: 3, Textual support number: 1 DEF
Forecast for a period extending generally from 3 to 10 days from the day of issue. 4, record 3, English, - medium%2Drange%20forecast
Record number: 3, Textual support number: 1 CONT
The fundamental principles and concepts of ensemble forecasting exploited for medium-range prediction apply equally well to short-range(0-3 days) regional model-based ensembles... 2, record 3, English, - medium%2Drange%20forecast
Record number: 3, Textual support number: 1 OBS
In the "Glossaire de météorologie et de climatologie" (VILME, 1980, 356), "medium-range forecast" is synonymous to "extended forecast" that is "A forecast for a period generally extending beyond the normal range of the operational forecast. Depending on the region, the period generally extends beyond 2 or 3 days." 5, record 3, English, - medium%2Drange%20forecast
Record 3, Key term(s)
- medium range forecast
- medium range prediction
- medium term forecast
- medium-term prediction
- medium term prediction
Record 3, French
Record 3, Domaine(s)
- Prévisions météorologiques et mesure et analyse des données
Record 3, Main entry term, French
- prévision à moyenne échéance
1, record 3, French, pr%C3%A9vision%20%C3%A0%20moyenne%20%C3%A9ch%C3%A9ance
correct, feminine noun
Record 3, Abbreviations, French
Record 3, Synonyms, French
Record 3, Textual support, French
Record number: 3, Textual support number: 1 DEF
Prévision pour une période qui s'étend généralement de 3 à 10 jours de la date de diffusion. 2, record 3, French, - pr%C3%A9vision%20%C3%A0%20moyenne%20%C3%A9ch%C3%A9ance
Record number: 3, Textual support number: 1 OBS
Toutefois, il n'y a pas d'accord sur des limites précises. 3, record 3, French, - pr%C3%A9vision%20%C3%A0%20moyenne%20%C3%A9ch%C3%A9ance
Record 3, Spanish
Record 3, Campo(s) temático(s)
- Previsiones meteorológicas, medición y análisis de datos
Record 3, Main entry term, Spanish
- predicción a plazo medio
1, record 3, Spanish, predicci%C3%B3n%20a%20plazo%20medio
feminine noun
Record 3, Abbreviations, Spanish
Record 3, Synonyms, Spanish
Record 3, Textual support, Spanish
Record number: 3, Textual support number: 1 DEF
Predicción para un período que llega en general de 3 a 10 días de la fecha de difusión. 1, record 3, Spanish, - predicci%C3%B3n%20a%20plazo%20medio
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